研究目的
To solve the problem of large time shifts between renewable energy supply and user demand by optimizing a directly coupled photovoltaic-electrolyzer system with the Levelized Cost Of Hydrogen (LCOH) as the objective, including uncertainty quantification.
研究成果
The study concludes that installing a PV-electrolyzer system in locations with high average yearly solar irradiation is favorable for both the mean and standard deviation of LCOH. The discount rate uncertainty is the main contributor to the LCOH variation, suggesting that de-risking the technology or promoting more demonstration projects is the main action to further decrease the LCOH variation.
研究不足
The study assumes certain fixed values for technical and economic parameters during DDO, which are uncertain in real-life operation. Future works will focus on including accurate probability distributions and adding batteries to the system.
1:Experimental Design and Method Selection:
The study uses a surrogate-assisted robust design optimization approach, including uncertainty quantification (UQ) via non-intrusive Polynomial Chaos Expansion (PCE), to optimize the design of a directly coupled PV-electrolyzer system.
2:Sample Selection and Data Sources:
Hourly solar irradiance and temperature data for one year in Johannesburg, San Francisco, and Bern are used to analyze the effect of various climates.
3:List of Experimental Equipment and Materials:
A single diode model without parallel resistance represents a PV cell, and a Proton Exchange Membrane (PEM) electrolyzer is selected for its fast response time and operational flexibility.
4:Experimental Procedures and Operational Workflow:
The optimization considers electrolyzer cells in series and parallel, water activity, and electrolyzer operating temperature as design parameters. The DDO and RDO processes are performed to find optimal configurations.
5:Data Analysis Methods:
PCE is used for UQ to achieve accurate statistics and define the contribution of each input parameter to the LCOH variation through Sobol’ indices.
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