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Predictive equation for post-mortem interval using spectrophotometric values of post-mortem lividity: A pilot study

DOI:10.1016/j.forsciint.2019.01.014 期刊:Forensic Science International 出版年份:2019 更新时间:2025-09-19 17:15:36
摘要: The colour of post-mortem lividity and control skin of 86 cadavers was measured spectrophotometrically to obtain L* (value), a* (chroma) and b* (hue) values. In addition, left heart blood (n = 58), right heart blood (n = 57) and blood from the femoral vein (n = 21) were measured. Using these data, we analysed the relationship between post-mortem lividity, control skin and blood colours. L* of post-mortem lividity (L* p) and control skin (L* c) were strongly correlated (r = 0.64). a* and b* of post-mortem lividity (a* p and b* p) significantly increased with an increasing post-mortem interval (PMI) but r2 values were low (0.11 and 0.070, respectively). Predictive equations for post-mortem lividity colour (L* p, a* p and b* p) were developed using control skin colour (L* c, a* c and b* c) and autopsy findings for the first time. The predictive equation for L* p explained almost 65% of the observed L* p. We created predictive equations for PMI with and without blood colour values, and the most accurate equation, which did not use blood colour values, made it possible to estimate PMI within ±10.29 h. Further study of these equations will help us to understand the factors that affect post-mortem lividity colour and increase the accuracy of equations for predicting post-mortem lividity colour and PMI.
作者: Yosuke Usumoto,Keiko Kudo,Akiko Tsuji,Yoko Ihama,Noriaki Ikeda
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To develop predictive equations for post-mortem interval using spectrophotometric values of post-mortem lividity and analyze the relationship between post-mortem lividity, control skin, and blood colors.

The study successfully developed predictive equations for post-mortem lividity color and PMI using spectrophotometric data. The equation for PMI without blood color values had an RMSE of 10.29 hours, indicating reasonable accuracy. Blood color contributed to post-mortem lividity but was not a major factor. Further research is needed to understand additional influencing factors and improve equation accuracy.

The study excluded cadavers with PMI >72 hours, charred bodies, or putrefaction, limiting generalizability. Not all cases had blood color measurements from all sites (e.g., femoral vein n=21), reducing sample size for some analyses. The equations may have overfitting issues, and factors not considered could affect accuracy. Blood color was not strongly correlated with post-mortem lividity, suggesting other unaccounted factors.

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