摘要： Due to the intrinsic intermittency and stochastic nature of solar power, accurate forecasting of the photovoltaic (PV) generation is crucial for the operation and planning of PV-intensive power systems. Several PV forecasting methods based on machine learning algorithms have recently emerged, but a complete assessment of their performance on a common framework is still missing from the literature. In this paper, a comprehensive comparative analysis is performed, evaluating ten recent neural networks and intelligent algorithms of the literature in short-term PV forecasting. All methods are properly fine-tuned and assessed on a one-year dataset of a 406 MWp PV plant in the UK. Furthermore, a new hybrid prediction strategy is proposed and evaluated, derived as an aggregation of the most well-performing forecasting models. Simulation results in MATLAB show that the season of the year affects the accuracy of all methods, the proposed hybrid one performing most favorably overall.