摘要： To improve the performance of crop models for regional crop yield estimates, a particle filter (PF) was introduced to develop a data assimilation strategy using the Crop Environment Resource Synthesis (CERES)—Wheat model. Two experiments involving winter wheat yield estimations were conducted at a field plot and on a regional scale to test the feasibility of the PF-based data assimilation strategy and to analyze the effects of the PF parameters and spatio-temporal scales of assimilating observations on the performance of the crop model data assimilation. The significant improvements in the yield estimation suggest that PF-based crop model data assimilation is feasible. Winter wheat yields from the field plots were forecasted with a determination coefficient (R2) of 0.87, a root-mean-square error (RMSE) of 251 kg/ha, and a relative error (RE) of 2.95%. An acceptable yield at the county scale was estimated with a R2 of 0.998, a RMSE of 9734 t, and a RE of 4.29%. The optimal yield estimates may be highly dependent on the reasonable spatiotemporal resolution of assimilating observations. A configuration using a particle size of 50, LAI maps with a moderate spatial resolution (e.g., 1 km), and an assimilation interval of 20 d results in a reasonable tradeoff between accuracy and effectiveness in regional applications.