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Technical and economical evaluation of the photovoltaic system in Brazilian public buildings: A case study for peak and off-peak hours

DOI:10.1016/j.energy.2019.116282 期刊:Energy 出版年份:2019 更新时间:2025-09-19 17:13:59
摘要: An analysis of Brazilian public costs indicates that, although a significant part of its financial resources is destined for electricity consumption, only a small portion of the distributed generation belongs to public institutions. A technical and economic analysis of a PV power plant in the Brazilian public sector was proposed and various scenarios were evaluated, indicating that a change in the Brazilian tariff policy could be an alternative for boosting PV generation in the public sector. Risk analysis demonstrated that the minimum acceptable rate of return is the variable that most affects the system’s viability. In addition, a Monte Carlo Simulation (MCS) showed that the proposed PV system has a viability probability higher than 92%. A statistical analysis indicated that the system has a probability of at least 80% for supplying more than 25% of the building’s peak demand for all seasons. Finally, such systems have also been found to represent an alternative for improving the electricity grid’s stability, while supplying part of the building’s energy demand.
作者: Tatiane C. Silva,Gabriel M. Pinto,Túlio A.Z. de Souza,Victor Valerio,Naidion M. Silvério,Christian J.R. Coronado,Eduardo C. Guardia
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Evaluating the feasibility of installing PV panels for the partial supply of demand in a professor’s office building at Itajubá Federal University (UNIFEI), located in Itajubá, Minas Gerais State, Brazil, for three different scenarios.

The system’s viability can be enhanced when the adjustment factor is not considered, indicating that a change in the institutional policy could be beneficial and boost distributed generation in the Brazilian public sector. The simulation based on NPV criteria reinforced the economic suitability of the project, indicating viability possibilities higher than 92%. PV plants can play an important role in contributing to lower operating costs and greater stability of the electrical system by supplying part of the required load demand.

The study is dependent on the SELIC rate, which can present a hindrance to implementing PV generation in the public sector, since this parameter is expected to increase in the coming years. OPEX also has a great influence on the system’s viability.

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