研究目的
Investigating the impact of intra-hour irradiance variability on annual energy production estimates of PV power plants with high DC to AC ratios and proposing a methodology for error compensation.
研究成果
The study demonstrates that hourly modeling can overestimate yearly system production by as much as 4-5% in the worst cases due to intra-hour irradiance variability, particularly for systems with high DC:AC ratios. A methodology using correction factors based on clear sky ratio is proposed, which improves the accuracy of hourly simulations but does not fully eliminate the error.
研究不足
The study is limited to locations within the United States and primarily focuses on systems with a 30-degree tilt. The methodology may not fully eliminate error due to higher than actual performance estimations.
1:Experimental Design and Method Selection:
The study compares PV system performance simulations run using both one-minute and hourly weather data to quantify the error introduced by intra-hour irradiance variability.
2:Sample Selection and Data Sources:
Publicly available one-minute global horizontal irradiance (GHI) datasets from the NREL Measurement and Instrumentation Data Center (MIDC) were used.
3:List of Experimental Equipment and Materials:
pvlib python was used for simulating generic PV systems.
4:Experimental Procedures and Operational Workflow:
Simulations were run for different combinations of location, DC:AC ratio, and tilt, using both one-minute and hourly timesteps.
5:Data Analysis Methods:
The study analyzed the difference in accessible irradiance between minute-based and hour-based simulations to propose correction factors.
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