研究目的
To propose a novel LASSO and LSTM integrated forecasting model for precise short-term prediction of solar intensity based on meteorological data.
研究成果
The proposed LASSO and LSTM integrated temporal model can predict short-term solar intensity with high precision, although the prediction accuracy decreases as timescale increases. Future work is to propose an accurate general forecasting model which can predict the solar intensity precisely on different timescales.
研究不足
The prediction accuracy decreases as timescale increases, making it unsuitable for predicting solar intensity on longer timescales.
1:Experimental Design and Method Selection:
The proposed scheme first clusters data using k-means++. For each cluster, a distinctive forecasting model is then constructed by applying LSTM, which learns the non-linear relationships, and LASSO, which captures the linear relationship within the data.
2:Sample Selection and Data Sources:
Simulation results with open-source datasets demonstrate the effectiveness and accuracy of the proposed model in short-term forecasting of solar intensity.
3:List of Experimental Equipment and Materials:
Not explicitly mentioned.
4:Experimental Procedures and Operational Workflow:
The proposed scheme involves clustering data, constructing forecasting models for each cluster using LSTM and LASSO, and validating the model with simulation results.
5:Data Analysis Methods:
The effectiveness and accuracy of the proposed model are demonstrated through simulation results with open-source datasets.
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