研究目的
To forecast solar photovoltaic (PV) power using meteorological parameters and analyze the impacts of these parameters with respect to forecasted PV power, focusing on the performance of optimization-based PV power forecasting models with varying aerosol particles and other meteorological parameters.
研究成果
The proposed GWO-based MLP model for solar PV power forecasting shows better performance compared to other intelligent techniques, with statistical indicators NMBE, NMAE, and NRMSE as 2.267%, 4.681%, and 6.67% respectively. The model is effective for varying air quality conditions and can be used for smart grid energy management and demand response applications.
研究不足
The performance of the proposed model is deteriorated in case of more diffuse solar irradiance. The model requires large computational memory for training.
1:Experimental Design and Method Selection:
The proposed model is developed using a newly developed intelligent approach based on grey wolf optimization (GWO) using multilayer perceptron (MLP) to forecast the PV power. The performance is evaluated based on statistical indicators.
2:Sample Selection and Data Sources:
Meteorological data as input parameters, including solar irradiance, cell temperature, Linke turbidity factor, and wind speed, collected from a 5 kWp grid-connected PV system installed at the rooftop of the laboratory.
3:List of Experimental Equipment and Materials:
Solar System Analyzer 9018BT for data collection.
4:Experimental Procedures and Operational Workflow:
Data collected during daytime for every 2 minutes. The model is trained and validated using the collected dataset.
5:Data Analysis Methods:
Performance evaluated using statistical indicators such as NMBE, NMAE, NRMSE, and training error.
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