研究目的
to present a model using ANN which can give a precise prediction of the PV power when various environmental factors influencing the power output are known.
研究成果
The RBFEF method shows the least RMSE but can produce sharp drops in simulated output. The FFNN method has a higher RMSE but better envelopes the actual power production. A decision-based ANN schematic (DBNN) is developed to combine the advantages of both methods, improving the RMSE by up to 6% and resolving the issue of sudden dips in power output.
研究不足
The study is limited by the quality and completeness of the SCADA system data, which may include erroneous readings or periods of power outages. The model's performance is also dependent on the selection of the spread constant (σ) for the RBFEF method.
1:Experimental Design and Method Selection:
The study compares three ANN methods: RBFEF, RBF (k-means), and FFNN for predicting solar power plant output.
2:Sample Selection and Data Sources:
Data is collected from the SN Mohanty PV power plant located in Cuttack, Odisha, including meteorological data and power output.
3:List of Experimental Equipment and Materials:
MATLAB is used for developing and training the neural networks.
4:Experimental Procedures and Operational Workflow:
The neural networks are trained on monthly data from 2012 and 2013 and tested on 2014 data. The Pearson Correlation Coefficient is used to evaluate the relationship between meteorological parameters and power output.
5:Data Analysis Methods:
RMSE is used to compare the effectiveness of the different neural network methods.
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