研究目的
To evaluate various methodologies for weather data estimation for photovoltaic power forecast in water pumping systems.
研究成果
The ANFIS model combines the benefits of fuzzy logic and artificial neural network, providing high prediction accuracy for both ambient temperature and solar irradiation. The predicted photovoltaic power was successfully used for water pumping management algorithm, ensuring pump load requirement over the day while protecting the battery from over charging or discharging.
研究不足
The artificial intelligence methods' drawback lies in the fact that they are not based on a physical strategy and their utilization depends on the availability of the training base. Physical models do not need training data but have lower prediction accuracy.
1:Experimental Design and Method Selection:
The study evaluates empirical models, feed forward neural network (FFNN), and adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system (ANFIS) for weather data estimation.
2:Sample Selection and Data Sources:
Meteorological data were taken from the Research Center and Energy Technologies in Borj Cédria, Tunisia, collected every 5 minutes.
3:List of Experimental Equipment and Materials:
SOLARWORD-SW-250 Poly photovoltaic panel, lead acid battery, induction machine pump, and multi-string inverter.
4:Experimental Procedures and Operational Workflow:
The process involves predicting solar irradiation and ambient temperature using different technologies, evaluating models' performances, and applying the best model for photovoltaic power estimation.
5:Data Analysis Methods:
Performance evaluation using normalized mean bias error (NMBE) and normalized root mean squared error (NRMSE).
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